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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Boosting consumption will be the top priority of economic work. Among the nine key tasks of economic work next year, "vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions" ranks first. Among them, "consumption" has been placed in a more important position. The Central Economic Work Conference pointed out that it is necessary to grasp key links to complete the key tasks of economic work next year, and focus on boosting domestic demand, especially consumer demand. Zhao Bo, an associate professor of economics in the National Development Research Institute of Peking University, pointed out that since the Third Plenary Session of the Eleventh Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, the proportion of China's household consumption in GDP has experienced a short-term rise and a continuous decline, and rebounded around 2009, and it is currently maintained at around 40%. Zhou Qingjie, a professor at the School of Economics of Beijing Technology and Business University, said in the article "Paying attention to the key role of household consumption in expanding domestic demand" that according to the internationally accepted national economic accounting system, household consumption is one of the "four pillars" in GDP, alongside domestic private total investment, government purchase, public investment and net export. From the international comparison, the proportion of Chinese residents' consumption in GDP is at a relatively low level. Therefore, in the process of building a new development pattern in China, the effective practice of expanding domestic demand strategy depends more on the "internal" efforts of residents' departments, so that residents can spend money, rest assured and freely. (Securities Times)Venezuela: This week, 103 people arrested after the July elections were released.

Two States in the United States sued Glock, a gun manufacturer, for ignoring the design flaw that "pistols can easily become machine guns". On the 12th, the prosecutors in New Jersey and Minnesota respectively sued Glock, an Austrian weapons manufacturer, accusing the pistol manufactured by them of design defects and being easily converted into illegal machine guns. According to the complaint, Glock knew this situation for a long time, and continued to sell this pistol to the United States and profit from it, which promoted the proliferation of gun violence in the United States. (Xinhua News Agency)China Football Association: All the three-level professional leagues in 2024 have achieved the expected goals. At the media briefing held on the 13th, Yang Xu, vice chairman of China Football Association, gave a briefing on the overall situation of the three-level professional leagues in 2024. Yang Xu said that all the events in the Super League, China A and China B have achieved the expected goals, the technical and tactical level has been steadily improved, the competition discipline has been significantly improved, and the ball market and attention have continued to improve. Yang Xu said that in 2024, the competitive level of the league has improved significantly. Among them, the core technical data such as the average net game time, average running distance, high-intensity running distance and total goals in the Super League are higher than those in the 2023 season and the 2019 season before the epidemic, and the quality of the league has rebounded in an all-round way. In addition, the average playing time and scoring rate of U21 players in the third-level professional league have been significantly improved. (Xinhua News Agency)Turkish President Erdogan met with US Secretary of State Blinken in Ankara.

The exchange rate of the Canadian dollar against the US dollar fell to the lowest level since April 2020. As the US dollar strengthened for the fifth consecutive day, the Canadian dollar fell below 1.42 Canadian dollars against the US dollar for the first time since April 2020. According to informed officials, Canada is studying that if US President-elect Donald Trump fulfills his threat to impose extensive tariffs, Canada will impose export taxes on its main exports to the United States.Huangshan Capsule: It is planned to distribute a cash dividend of 0.27 yuan for every 10 shares. Huangshan Capsule announced that the company held the board of directors and the board of supervisors on December 13, 2024, and reviewed and approved the profit distribution plan for the first three quarters of 2024. According to the plan, the company plans to distribute a cash dividend of RMB27 to all shareholders for every 10 shares based on the existing total share capital of 299 million shares, with a total cash dividend of RMB8,075,700. This profit distribution will not send bonus shares, and capital reserve will not be converted into share capital.New york street folk "wanted order" aggravates business panic. In addition to the killed CEO, there are also financial executives. new york police are investigating the so-called "wanted order" posted on the streets of Manhattan aimed at business executives. On these "wanted orders", in addition to Brian Thompson, a senior figure of insurance giant UnitedHealth Group Inc, who was shot dead in the street last Wednesday, there are also portraits of senior executives of financial enterprises. Thompson's photo was marked with a red cross. This is the latest in a series of events that caused anxiety among business leaders after Thompson was shot. A spokesman for the new york Police Department said that in addition to these notices, there has been a surge in online threats against corporate executives. Luigi Mangione, a 26-year-old man accused of Thompson's murder, was arrested with a declaration condemning the profiteering of the medical industry, saying that "these parasites are purely asking for it". According to a law enforcement agency document, new york police said that they were on high alert for "the risk that extremists of all colors may regard Mangione as a martyr and follow an example". "These arguments may indicate that the threats faced by executives will intensify in the short term," the document said.